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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Feb 1, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Centenario
Penarol

Progreso
1 - 3
Penarol

Gonzalez (90+2' pen.)
Colombino (61'), Fernando Caicedo Estacio (73'), Maldonado (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Baez (20'), Garcia (62'), Silvera (75')
Mendez (33'), Darias (47'), Sosa (77')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Progreso

All competitions
Last Game: Cerro Largo 2-1 Progreso
Saturday, November 30 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Penarol

All competitions
Last Game: Penarol 3-1 Fenix
Sunday, December 1 at 9pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 59.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 16.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.42%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Progreso win it was 1-0 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
ProgresoDrawPenarol
16.34% (-1.039 -1.04) 23.77% (-0.621 -0.62) 59.89% (1.659 1.66)
Both teams to score 43.15% (-0.255 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.21% (0.739 0.74)55.79% (-0.741 -0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.08% (0.601 0.6)76.92% (-0.60199999999999 -0.6)
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.87% (-0.90600000000001 -0.91)47.13% (0.905 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.42% (-0.69 -0.69)82.58% (0.688 0.69)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.61% (0.902 0.9)18.39% (-0.903 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.46% (1.505 1.51)49.54% (-1.507 -1.51)
Score Analysis
    Progreso 16.34%
    Penarol 59.88%
    Draw 23.77%
ProgresoDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 6.52% (-0.361 -0.36)
2-1 @ 4.15% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-0 @ 2.45% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-1 @ 1.04% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 16.34%
1-1 @ 11.04% (-0.28 -0.28)
0-0 @ 8.67% (-0.251 -0.25)
2-2 @ 3.52% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 23.77%
0-1 @ 14.67%
0-2 @ 12.42% (0.35 0.35)
1-2 @ 9.35% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 7.01% (0.392 0.39)
1-3 @ 5.28% (0.167 0.17)
0-4 @ 2.97% (0.245 0.25)
1-4 @ 2.23% (0.132 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.014 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.01% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 59.88%

Head to Head
Nov 27, 2024 12am
Gameweek 14
Progreso
1-5
Penarol
Joaquin Hernandez Alvarez (90+1')
Gonzalez (20'), Garcia (26'), Caballero (41'), Joaquin Martin Colman (55')
Perez (38'), Silvera (43'), Medina (63'), Batista (68', 86')
Mendez (45'), Fernandez (75')
Jun 22, 2024 9pm
Gameweek 3
Progreso
P-P
Penarol

Garcia (44'), Cardozo (45+1'), Cabrera (84'), Fernandez (85')
Gonzalez (61'), Fernandez (90+1')
Sequeira (69'), Rodriguez (81'), Cabrera (85')
May 24, 2024 12am
Gameweek 14
Penarol
3-1
Progreso
Coelho (59', 70'), Hernandez (90+2')
Sosa (54'), Coelho (66'), Gonzalez (72')
Gianoli (44' og.)
Poiso (40'), Marta (63'), Piegas (78'), Silvera (83')
Nov 25, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Progreso
0-0
Penarol
Fuerte (29'), Viera (47'), Formento (56'), Barboza (63'), Romero (76')
Gonzalez (51'), Elizalde (53'), Gargano (67'), Laquintana (71'), Musto (90+1')
Aug 14, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 14
Penarol
1-0
Progreso
Alvarez (81')
Nahuelpan (42')

Barboza (14'), Bentaberry (34'), Arias (62'), Ferreira (89')
rhs 2.0
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