Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Mar 9, 2025 at 8pm UK
Parque Federico Omar Saroldi

Progreso2 - 2Boston River
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Boston River.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Danubio 1-1 Progreso
Sunday, February 23 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, February 23 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
4
Last Game: Boston River 0-0 Bahia
Friday, March 7 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Friday, March 7 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Goals
for
for
3
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 56.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 19.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.38%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Progreso win it was 1-0 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Progreso | Draw | Boston River |
19.02% (![]() | 24.8% (![]() | 56.18% (![]() |
Both teams to score 44.97% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.08% (![]() | 55.92% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.97% (![]() | 77.02% (![]() |
Progreso Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.11% (![]() | 43.89% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.97% (![]() | 80.03% (![]() |
Boston River Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.14% (![]() | 19.85% (![]() |