Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 13

Nov 29, 2023 at 12.15am UK

Complejo Daniel Marsicano

Torque
5 - 1
Maldonado

Lerda (20' og.), Alvarez (33'), Siri (55'), Pizzichillo (72'), Pereira (90+2')
Costa (40'), Tinaglini (90')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Darias (47')
Alfaro (57'), Rodriguez (80')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo City Torque and Deportivo Maldonado.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo City Torque

All competitions

Last Game: Boston River 2-0 Torque
Friday, November 24 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions

Last Game: Maldonado 2-1 Defensor
Saturday, November 25 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.

Result
Montevideo City Torque	Draw	Deportivo Maldonado
39.62% ( 0.25)	27.35% ( -0.13)	33.04% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 49.44% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.95% (

0.47)

56.05% (

-0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.87% (

0.38)

77.13% (

-0.38)

Montevideo City Torque Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.37% (

0.36)

27.64% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.83% (

0.47)

63.18% (

-0.46)

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.32% (

0.15)

31.69% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.9% (

0.18)

68.1% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Montevideo City Torque 39.62%

Deportivo Maldonado 33.03%

Draw 27.34%

Montevideo City Torque	Draw	Deportivo Maldonado
1-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.93% Total : 39.62%	1-1 @ 12.94% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.34%	0-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.03%