MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 18:24:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Nov 19, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel

Maldonado
1 - 0
La Luz

Darias (90' pen.)
Cotugno (54'), Toledo (58'), Cayetano (86'), Gonzalez (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Castillo (54'), Cayetano (88'), Gonzalez (90+3'), Porcile (89')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Deportivo Maldonado and La Luz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions
Last Game: Maldonado 3-0 Wanderers
Wednesday, November 15 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

La Luz

All competitions
Last Game: Boston River 1-2 La Luz
Thursday, November 16 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 43.51%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for La Luz had a probability of 27.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a La Luz win it was 0-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Deportivo Maldonado in this match.

Result
Deportivo MaldonadoDrawLa Luz
43.51% (-0.345 -0.34) 29.07% (-0.109 -0.11) 27.42% (0.451 0.45)
Both teams to score 42.43% (0.522 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.27% (0.514 0.51)63.73% (-0.51600000000001 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.01% (0.364 0.36)82.99% (-0.366 -0.37)
Deportivo Maldonado Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.83% (0.065999999999988 0.07)29.17% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.89% (0.079000000000001 0.08)65.12% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
La Luz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.91% (0.681 0.68)40.09% (-0.683 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.26% (0.615 0.61)76.74% (-0.61699999999999 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Maldonado 43.5%
    La Luz 27.42%
    Draw 29.07%
Deportivo MaldonadoDrawLa Luz
1-0 @ 14.4% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-0 @ 8.88% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-1 @ 8.11% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.64% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.33% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.52% (0.035 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 43.5%
1-1 @ 13.17% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.69% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-2 @ 3.71% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.07%
0-1 @ 10.69%
1-2 @ 6.02% (0.12 0.12)
0-2 @ 4.89% (0.088 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.83% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.054 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.13% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 27.42%

Head to Head
Apr 17, 2023 11.15pm
Gameweek 11
La Luz
4-2
Maldonado
Schiappacasse (34'), Viera (44'), Tellechea (71' og.), Quintana (76')
Cantera (9', 81')
rhs 2.0
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