MX23RW : Thursday, November 14 04:55:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Nov 5, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel

Maldonado
1 - 2
Danubio

Fernandez (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Zarate (62'), Bueno (83')
Branda (44')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Deportivo Maldonado and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 1-3 Maldonado
Tuesday, October 24 at 12.15am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 1-1 Boston River
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 35.97%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.24%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (12.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.

Result
Deportivo MaldonadoDrawDanubio
34.19% (-0.067 -0.07) 29.84% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 35.97% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 42.54% (-0.112 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.38% (-0.132 -0.13)64.62% (0.131 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.38% (-0.093 -0.09)83.62% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Deportivo Maldonado Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.62% (-0.119 -0.12)35.38% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.86% (-0.123 -0.12)72.14% (0.12299999999999 0.12)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.82% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)34.17% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.13% (-0.058 -0.06)70.87% (0.057999999999993 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Maldonado 34.19%
    Danubio 35.97%
    Draw 29.83%
Deportivo MaldonadoDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 12.56% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.01% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.43% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.3% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 34.19%
1-1 @ 13.48%
0-0 @ 12.09% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.76% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.83%
0-1 @ 12.98% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.97% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.59% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 35.97%

Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 8
Danubio
4-0
Maldonado
May (18', 53', 70'), Sosa (32')
Aug 7, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 2
Danubio
0-0
Maldonado
Fernandez (52')
Rodriguez (26'), Tealde (76'), Tellechea (87'), Valentin Amoroso Guerra (90+6')
Feb 15, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 2
Maldonado
1-2
Danubio
Rodriguez (11'), Tealde (23'), Ferreira (88')
Hernandez (27'), Vicente (38'), Bortagaray (61'), Olivera (81')
Mar 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 14
Danubio
2-2
Maldonado
Luis Rodriguez (16'), Mederos (41')
Rodriguez (30'), Romana (75'), Fritzler (84'), Rodriguez (88')
Batista (29' pen.), Pereyra (90+6')
Dec 13, 2020 11pm
Gameweek 7
Maldonado
1-1
Danubio
Estigarribia (54' pen.)
Muniz (19'), Tellechea (56'), Gonzalez (58')
Mederos (75')
Carrera (58'), Rodriguez (83'), Siles (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Clausura
1NacionalNacional129212982129
2PenarolPenarol118212031726
3DanubioDanubio11641134922
4Boston RiverBoston River117131610622
5Racing de MontevideoRacing12552129320
6Defensor SportingDefensor125431712519
7Miramar Misiones12453911-217
8Rampla JuniorsRampla114341113-215
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers113441213-113
10Cerro Largo12345610-413
11FenixFenix124171021-1113
12River PlateRiver Plate123361118-712
13LiverpoolLiverpool12255913-411
14CerroCerro11245816-810
15ProgresoProgreso12147515-107
16Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado12039517-123
Group 1
1PenarolPenarol7421105514
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers7412119213
3Defensor SportingDefensor732275211
4FenixFenix7313109110
5River PlateRiver Plate722389-18
6ProgresoProgreso7223811-38
7Racing de MontevideoRacing7133810-26
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado713359-46
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011


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