Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Oct 18, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Centenario
Torque2 - 3Penarol
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo City Torque and Penarol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Defensor 2-0 Torque
Friday, October 13 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Friday, October 13 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
27
Last Game: Maldonado 0-1 Penarol
Saturday, October 14 at 1am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, October 14 at 1am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 49.32%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 23.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.95%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Montevideo City Torque win it was 1-0 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
Result | ||
Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Penarol |
23.72% ( 0.06) | 26.96% ( 0.03) | 49.32% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 45.03% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.03% ( -0.05) | 58.97% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.55% ( -0.04) | 79.45% ( 0.04) |
Montevideo City Torque Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.28% ( 0.03) | 40.72% ( -0.03) |