Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Mar 12, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Centenario
Penarol2 - 2Torque
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Montevideo City Torque.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: River Plate 0-4 Penarol
Wednesday, March 8 at 12am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, March 8 at 12am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Torque 0-3 Defensor
Saturday, March 4 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, March 4 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 48.96%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 23.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Montevideo City Torque win it was 0-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Penarol | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
48.96% ( 0.92) | 27.5% ( -0.42) | 23.54% ( -0.51) |
Both teams to score 43.47% ( 0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.11% ( 0.99) | 60.89% ( -0.99) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.09% ( 0.74) | 80.91% ( -0.74) |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.94% ( 0.9) | 25.06% ( -0.9) |