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Villarreal logo
La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 11, 2021 at 1pm UK
Estadio El Madrigal
Osauna logo

Villarreal
1 - 2
Osasuna

Garcia (70' og.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Moncayola (64'), Budimir (74')

Preview: Villarreal vs. Osasuna - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Villarreal will be looking to make it seven straight victories in all competitions when they continue their La Liga campaign at home to Osasuna on Sunday afternoon.

The Yellow Submarine are currently seventh in the table, level on points with fifth-placed Real Sociedad, while Osasuna occupy 14th position, seven points clear of the relegation zone.


Match preview

Villarreal manager Unai Emery pictured in December 2020© Reuters

Villarreal have placed themselves in a strong position to reach the semi-finals of the Europa League courtesy of a 1-0 victory over Dinamo Zagreb in the first leg of their last-eight tie on Thursday evening, with Gerard Moreno scoring the only goal of the contest just before the half-time break.

Unai Emery's side will fancy their chances of finishing the job in the second leg next week but must first focus on league matters as they look to move into fifth position in the table.

The Yellow Submarine have been victorious in each of their last three matches in Spain's top flight, including a 3-0 success away to Granada on April 3, which has moved them level on points with fifth-placed Real Sociedad.

The top four will be beyond Villarreal this term, but there is no question that securing fifth and advancing to the semi-finals of the Europa League and possibly beyond would go down as a strong campaign.

Emery's team have only lost two of their 14 home league matches this term, but they have been held on six occasions at Estadio de la Ceramica.

Osasuna goalkeeper Sergio Herrera in action against Real Madrid on January 9, 2021© Reuters

Osasuna, meanwhile, will enter this weekend's contest off the back of a goalless draw with Getafe last weekend; Jagoba Arrasate's side have now played out 0-0 draws in each of their last three matches, having also shared the points with Real Valladolid and Huesca since losing to Barcelona.

Los Rojillos have won seven, drawn 10 and lost 12 of their 29 league matches this season to collect 31 points, which has left them in 14th spot in the table heading into the next set of fixtures.

Osasuna are seven points clear of the bottom three, meaning that it would be a surprise to see them pulled into trouble, but they are far from safe at this stage of the campaign.

Arrasate's team have only actually lost six of their 14 away league matches this term, which is a strong record considering their position in the table, but they have been beaten in their last two games with Villarreal, including a 3-1 reverse back in December.

Villarreal La Liga form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W

Villarreal form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Osasuna La Liga form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D



Team News

Villarreal's Gerard Moreno celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates against Real Madrid on November 21, 2020© Reuters

Villarreal will again be without the services of Pervis Estupinan and Vicente Iborra this weekend through injury, but Juan Foyth is available after serving a domestic suspension against Granada.

Head coach Emery is likely to make changes from the team that started in the Europa League, with Paco Alcacer, Sergio Asenjo, Mario Gaspar and Alberto Moreno all set to feature.

It is still expected to be a strong side, though, with Gerard Moreno and Samuel Chukwueze retaining their spots in the final third and Dani Parejo lining up in the middle of the park.

As for Osasuna, Ruben Martinez remains unavailable for selection due to a finger injury, while the match is also expected to come too soon for Inigo Perez.

Jon Moncayola is available following a suspension, though, and is expected to return to the middle of the park; Jony is also in contention to feature, having recovered from a thigh problem.

Arrasate has plenty of options for change in the final third of the field, but Jonathan Calleri should retain his spot over Ante Budimir, while Roberto Torres might also have to accept a spot on the bench once again.

Villarreal possible starting lineup:
Asenjo; Gaspar, Albiol, Torres, A Moreno; Parejo, Capoue, Trigueros; G Moreno, Alcacer, Chukwueze

Osasuna possible starting lineup:
Herrera; Vidal, Hernandez, D Garcia, Cruz; Brasanac, Torro, Moncayola; Barja, Calleri, R Garcia


SM words green background

We say: Villarreal 1-0 Osasuna

Osasuna have had longer to prepare for this contest, but Villarreal should be in a confident mood following an impressive run of form. There could be a Europa League hangover for the Yellow Submarine, who will have one eye on next week's last-eight second leg. Emery's side should have enough to triumph this weekend, though, and we fancy a low-scoring game at Estadio de la Ceramica.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 50.15%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 22.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Villarreal vs Osasuna

Villarreal
86.5%
Draw
9.6%
Osasuna
3.8%
52
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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