Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 57.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 20.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 1-2 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.
