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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
May 15, 2021 at 12pm UK
Jenner Park

Barry
3 - 2
Caernarfon

Cotterill (57' pen.), Kavanagh (62'), Cotterill (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Thomas (45', 90')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Barry Town United and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barry Town United would win this match.

Result
Barry Town UnitedDrawCaernarfon Town
44.26%24.21%31.53%
Both teams to score 59.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.78%43.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.38%65.62%
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.29%19.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.29%51.71%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.7%26.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.58%61.42%
Score Analysis
    Barry Town United 44.26%
    Caernarfon Town 31.53%
    Draw 24.21%
Barry Town UnitedDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.13%
1-0 @ 8.42%
2-0 @ 6.84%
3-1 @ 4.94%
3-0 @ 3.7%
3-2 @ 3.3%
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-0 @ 1.5%
4-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 44.26%
1-1 @ 11.24%
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 5.18%
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.21%
1-2 @ 7.51%
0-1 @ 6.92%
0-2 @ 4.62%
1-3 @ 3.34%
2-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 2.06%
1-4 @ 1.12%
2-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 31.53%

Head to Head
Apr 10, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Caernarfon
0-1
Barry

Cleworth (5'), Kenny (27'), Thomas (54'), Edwards (61'), Jones (82')
Hutson (90+2')
McDonald (53'), McLaggon (77')
Dec 12, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Caernarfon
2-0
Barry
Kenny (81'), Jones (86')
Thomas (17'), Mendes (62'), Edwards (68'), Kenny (90+2')

Cooper (29')
Cooper (53')
Sep 19, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Barry
3-1
Caernarfon
McLaggon (38', 62'), McDonald (55')
Cummings (10'), Green (45'), Cotterill (45+1')
Hayes (66')
(33')
Apr 11, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Caernarfon
P-P
Barry
Feb 22, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Barry
1-1
Caernarfon
Touray (63')
Thomas (65')
(69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints15110442172533
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Briton Ferry1532101830-1211
11Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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