Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.