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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Oct 3, 2020 at 5.15pm UK
Cyncoed Campus

Cardiff MU
0 - 3
Caernarfon

FT(HT: 0-1)
Bradley (34' pen.), Thomas (83'), Jones (88')
(72')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawCaernarfon Town
45.39%26.01%28.61%
Both teams to score 51.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.63%52.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.95%74.05%
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.98%23.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.17%56.83%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.05%32.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.47%69.53%
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 45.39%
    Caernarfon Town 28.61%
    Draw 26%
Cardiff MUDrawCaernarfon Town
1-0 @ 11.14%
2-1 @ 9.08%
2-0 @ 8.18%
3-1 @ 4.45%
3-0 @ 4.01%
3-2 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 1.63%
4-0 @ 1.47%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 45.39%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 7.58%
2-2 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 8.42%
1-2 @ 6.87%
0-2 @ 4.67%
1-3 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 1.87%
0-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 28.61%

Head to Head
Jan 18, 2020 5.15pm
Gameweek 22
Cardiff MU
2-0
Caernarfon
Lam (30'), Evans (90')
Evans (39'), Lam (66')

Brookwell (39'), Evans (78')
Gruffydd (61')
Nov 29, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 16
Caernarfon
2-1
Cardiff MU
Jones (28'), Craig (76')
Lam (62')
May 11, 2019 7.30pm
Semi-Finals
Caernarfon
2-3
Cardiff MU
Thomas (19'), Craig (92')
Craig (94')
Baker (36'), Roscrow (68'), McCarthy (82')
McCarthy (45'), Lewis (55'), Baker (84')
Nov 17, 2018 5.15pm
Gameweek 15
Caernarfon
2-0
Cardiff MU
Edwards (10'), Edwards (44')
Edwards (29'), Thomas (34'), Edwards (65'), Williams (66')

Owen (41')
Rees (92')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont118211951426
2Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest11632134921
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU116231711620
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon105231712517
5Bala TownBala Town114431612416
6The New SaintsNew Saints75022071315
7Newtown AFCNewtown114341523-815
8Barry Town UnitedBarry113441218-613
9Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay103251412211
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town113171318-510
11Briton Ferry9126821-135
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth11119526-214


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