Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barry Town United in this match.
