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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Mar 6, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
2 - 2
Aberystwyth

Bickerstaff (84'), Bradley (88')
Kenny (52'), (54'), (89'), (90+4'), (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Owen (40'), Jenkins (90+5')
Williams (44'), Owen (78')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Aberystwyth Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 52.5%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 24.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawAberystwyth Town
52.5%22.84%24.66%
Both teams to score 58.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.34%41.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.94%64.06%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.09%15.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.84%45.16%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.63%30.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.43%66.56%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 52.5%
    Aberystwyth Town 24.66%
    Draw 22.83%
Caernarfon TownDrawAberystwyth Town
2-1 @ 9.73%
1-0 @ 8.88%
2-0 @ 8.16%
3-1 @ 5.96%
3-0 @ 5%
3-2 @ 3.55%
4-1 @ 2.74%
4-0 @ 2.3%
4-2 @ 1.63%
5-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 52.5%
1-1 @ 10.58%
2-2 @ 5.8%
0-0 @ 4.83%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.83%
1-2 @ 6.31%
0-1 @ 5.76%
0-2 @ 3.43%
1-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 2.3%
0-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 24.66%

Head to Head
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Aberystwyth
1-2
Caernarfon
Williams (88')
Davies (49'), Hewitt (64'), Bradford (90+2'), Rimmer (90+4')
Kenny (21'), Thomas (44')
Hayes (74'), Thomas (83')
Jan 10, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Caernarfon
0-3
Aberystwyth

Clark (58'), Evans (62'), Jones (76'), Edwards (77')
Williams (34', 71', 80')
Sep 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Aberystwyth
2-3
Caernarfon
Phillips (30'), Mendes (90')
Roberts (45'), Edwards (55'), Baynes (65')
Edwards (20'), Craig (34' pen.), Smith (54')
Dec 14, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Caernarfon
4-0
Aberystwyth
Craig (13' pen., 60' pen.), Bradley (62'), Thomas (68')

Goodall (12'), Walker (42'), Baynes (47')
Walker (42')
Oct 12, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Aberystwyth
0-0
Caernarfon
Walker (38'), Ahmadi (45'), Goodall (51')
Craig (13'), Ramsay (84')
Edwards (81')
rhs 2.0
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