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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 21
Jan 28, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
0 - 4
New Saints


Beaumont (26')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McManus (28'), Brobbel (56'), Cieslewicz (80'), Williams (86')
Marriott (61')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and The New Saints.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 75.3%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 9.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 2-1 (2.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawThe New Saints
9.5%15.2%75.3%
Both teams to score 50.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.27%34.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.31%56.69%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.17%44.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.2%80.8%
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.26%7.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.46%27.54%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 9.5%
    The New Saints 75.3%
    Draw 15.2%
Caernarfon TownDrawThe New Saints
2-1 @ 2.86%
1-0 @ 2.78%
2-0 @ 1.12%
3-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 9.5%
1-1 @ 7.12%
2-2 @ 3.66%
0-0 @ 3.47%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 15.2%
0-2 @ 11.36%
0-3 @ 9.69%
1-2 @ 9.12%
0-1 @ 8.88%
1-3 @ 7.78%
0-4 @ 6.2%
1-4 @ 4.98%
0-5 @ 3.18%
2-3 @ 3.12%
1-5 @ 2.55%
2-4 @ 2%
0-6 @ 1.35%
1-6 @ 1.09%
2-5 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3%
Total : 75.3%

Head to Head
Aug 21, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
New Saints
5-3
Caernarfon
Davies (6'), McManus (24'), Bradford (30'), Hudson (75'), Baker (90+4')
Redmond (64'), McManus (67'), Routledge (88')
Gosset (19'), Thomas (68'), G (86')
Donohue (24'), Thomas (60'), Cartwright (63')
Apr 27, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
New Saints
0-0
Caernarfon
Mullan (41'), Routledge (45+3'), Robles (66'), Redmond (89')
Thomas (43'), Kenny (78'), Mendes (82'), Brass (90+1'), (90+1')
Gruffydd (77'), Kenny (90+2')
Apr 20, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Caernarfon
0-2
New Saints

Malandjou (11'), Edwards (25')
Edwards (83')
Draper (67'), Hudson (84')
Hudson (13'), Harrington (76')
Apr 2, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 22
New Saints
4-1
Caernarfon
Hudson (8', 84'), Brobbel (48', 71')
Harrington (88')
Malandjou (90+2')
Parker (70')
Sep 27, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Caernarfon
0-4
New Saints

(37'), (41')
Robles (57', 66'), Ebbe (69'), Clark (90+3')
Harrington (4'), Holland (50'), Boateng (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
3Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
4Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
5Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514


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