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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 21
Jan 28, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
0 - 4
New Saints


Beaumont (26')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McManus (28'), Brobbel (56'), Cieslewicz (80'), Williams (86')
Marriott (61')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and The New Saints.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 75.3%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 9.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 2-1 (2.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawThe New Saints
9.5%15.2%75.3%
Both teams to score 50.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.27%34.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.31%56.69%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.17%44.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.2%80.8%
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.26%7.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.46%27.54%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 9.5%
    The New Saints 75.3%
    Draw 15.2%
Caernarfon TownDrawThe New Saints
2-1 @ 2.86%
1-0 @ 2.78%
2-0 @ 1.12%
3-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 9.5%
1-1 @ 7.12%
2-2 @ 3.66%
0-0 @ 3.47%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 15.2%
0-2 @ 11.36%
0-3 @ 9.69%
1-2 @ 9.12%
0-1 @ 8.88%
1-3 @ 7.78%
0-4 @ 6.2%
1-4 @ 4.98%
0-5 @ 3.18%
2-3 @ 3.12%
1-5 @ 2.55%
2-4 @ 2%
0-6 @ 1.35%
1-6 @ 1.09%
2-5 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3%
Total : 75.3%

Head to Head
Aug 21, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
New Saints
5-3
Caernarfon
Davies (6'), McManus (24'), Bradford (30'), Hudson (75'), Baker (90+4')
Redmond (64'), McManus (67'), Routledge (88')
Gosset (19'), Thomas (68'), G (86')
Donohue (24'), Thomas (60'), Cartwright (63')
Apr 27, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
New Saints
0-0
Caernarfon
Mullan (41'), Routledge (45+3'), Robles (66'), Redmond (89')
Thomas (43'), Kenny (78'), Mendes (82'), Brass (90+1'), (90+1')
Gruffydd (77'), Kenny (90+2')
Apr 20, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Caernarfon
0-2
New Saints

Malandjou (11'), Edwards (25')
Edwards (83')
Draper (67'), Hudson (84')
Hudson (13'), Harrington (76')
Apr 2, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 22
New Saints
4-1
Caernarfon
Hudson (8', 84'), Brobbel (48', 71')
Harrington (88')
Malandjou (90+2')
Parker (70')
Sep 27, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Caernarfon
0-4
New Saints

(37'), (41')
Robles (57', 66'), Ebbe (69'), Clark (90+3')
Harrington (4'), Holland (50'), Boateng (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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