MX23RW : Wednesday, October 2 16:53:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 6, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Cardiff MU
2 - 1
Barry

Evans (47'), Owen (54')
Vincent (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Huggins (90+3')
Bright (83')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Barry Town United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 2-2 Cardiff MU
Saturday, September 30 at 2.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Barry Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Barry 0-3 Caernarfon
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawBarry Town United
42.73% (0.189 0.19) 27.06% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 30.2% (-0.281 -0.28)
Both teams to score 49.3% (-0.393 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.24% (-0.444 -0.44)55.76% (0.443 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.1% (-0.364 -0.36)76.89% (0.36199999999999 0.36)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.17% (-0.10499999999999 -0.1)25.82% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.21% (-0.139 -0.14)60.78% (0.139 0.14)
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.46% (-0.437 -0.44)33.53% (0.435 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.82% (-0.483 -0.48)70.17% (0.479 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 42.73%
    Barry Town United 30.2%
    Draw 27.06%
Cardiff MUDrawBarry Town United
1-0 @ 11.72% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.94% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.58% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 42.73%
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.66% (0.147 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.06%
0-1 @ 9.46% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 7% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.17% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.88% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 30.2%

Head to Head
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Barry
1-0
Cardiff MU
McLaggon (17' pen.)
Sainty (22'), Abbruzzese (26')

Lewis (26'), Baker (79')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Cardiff MU
1-1
Barry
Evans (36' pen.)
McCarthy (30'), Craven (37')
McLaggon (38' pen.)
Wharton (54'), Kavanagh (81')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Cardiff MU
2-0
Barry
Owen (68'), Roscrow (89')
Baker (37')

Press (35'), Cooper (49')
Oct 12, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Barry
0-1
Cardiff MU

McLaggon (81'), Patten (89')
Evans (86' pen.)
Roscrow (64')
Apr 2, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 22
Cardiff MU
1-2
Barry
Lewis (52')
Owen (25'), Thomas (90')
Morgan (51' og.), Press (90')
rhs 2.0
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