Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 49.88%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 25.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.