MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 19:07:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Sep 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
4 - 0
Cardiff MU

Kenny (11'), Nash (40', 90+3'), Wilde (85')
Davies (59')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Samson (90+1')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Last Game: Barry 1-4 Connah's Quay
Saturday, September 9 at 2.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-0 Pontypridd
Friday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 57.36%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 18.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCardiff MU
57.36% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02) 24% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 18.63% (-0.043000000000003 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.52% (-0.244 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.49% (-0.285 -0.29)53.51% (0.286 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.97% (-0.242 -0.24)75.02% (0.242 0.24)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.52% (-0.113 -0.11)18.48% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.32% (-0.192 -0.19)49.68% (0.19 0.19)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.07% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)42.93% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.77% (-0.187 -0.19)79.23% (0.187 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 57.35%
    Cardiff MU 18.63%
    Draw 24%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCardiff MU
1-0 @ 13.39% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 11.3% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.37% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 5.38% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.27% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 57.35%
1-1 @ 11.32% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.93% (0.088 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 24%
0-1 @ 6.71% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.79% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.84% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 18.63%

Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Cardiff MU
0-2
Connah's Quay
Williams (32'), Mendes (45+3')
Feb 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Connah's Quay
2-1
Cardiff MU
Nash (35'), Harrington (90+1')
Rees (88')
Oct 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Connah's Quay
2-0
Cardiff MU
Wilde (10', 50')
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Cardiff MU
2-0
Connah's Quay
Jones (22'), Rees (83')
Lewis (17')

Nash (34'), Wilde (49'), Horan (62'), Malkin (65')
Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Connah's Quay
0-0
Cardiff MU
Curran (7'), Horan (49'), Harrington (82')
Lang (90+2'), Roscrow (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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