Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Sep 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Deeside College Stadium
Connah's Quay4 - 0Cardiff MU
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Cardiff MU.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barry 1-4 Connah's Quay
Saturday, September 9 at 2.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, September 9 at 2.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-0 Pontypridd
Friday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 57.36%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 18.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
Result | ||
Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Cardiff MU |
57.36% ( -0.02) | 24% ( 0.06) | 18.63% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 46.52% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.49% ( -0.29) | 53.51% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.97% ( -0.24) | 75.02% ( 0.24) |
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.52% ( -0.11) | 18.48% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.32% ( -0.19) | 49.68% ( 0.19) |
Cardiff MU Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.07% ( -0.22) | 42.93% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.77% ( -0.19) | 79.23% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Connah's Quay Nomads 57.35%
Cardiff MU 18.63%
Draw 24%
Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Cardiff MU |
1-0 @ 13.39% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.37% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 57.35% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.7% Total : 24% | 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.84% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.8% Total : 18.63% |
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Feb 25, 2023 2.30pm
Oct 15, 2022 2.30pm
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Cardiff MU
2-0
Connah's Quay
Jones (22'), Rees (83')
Lewis (17')
Lewis (17')
Nash (34'), Wilde (49'), Horan (62'), Malkin (65')
Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-10-04 05:17:10
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Falcons
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 23 |
2 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 20 |
3 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 18 |
4 | Bala TownBala Town | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
5 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 15 |
6 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 15 |
7 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 14 |
8 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 13 |
9 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 8 |
10 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
11 | Briton Ferry | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 5 |
12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 4 |
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