MX23RW : Friday, January 24 14:49:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Sep 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
4 - 0
Cardiff MU

Kenny (11'), Nash (40', 90+3'), Wilde (85')
Davies (59')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Samson (90+1')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Last Game: Barry 1-4 Connah's Quay
Saturday, September 9 at 2.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-0 Pontypridd
Friday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 57.36%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 18.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCardiff MU
57.36% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02) 24% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 18.63% (-0.043000000000003 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.52% (-0.244 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.49% (-0.285 -0.29)53.51% (0.286 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.97% (-0.242 -0.24)75.02% (0.242 0.24)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.52% (-0.113 -0.11)18.48% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.32% (-0.192 -0.19)49.68% (0.19 0.19)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.07% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)42.93% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.77% (-0.187 -0.19)79.23% (0.187 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 57.35%
    Cardiff MU 18.63%
    Draw 24%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCardiff MU
1-0 @ 13.39% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 11.3% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.37% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 5.38% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.27% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 57.35%
1-1 @ 11.32% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.93% (0.088 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 24%
0-1 @ 6.71% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.79% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.84% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 18.63%

Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Cardiff MU
0-2
Connah's Quay
Williams (32'), Mendes (45+3')
Feb 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Connah's Quay
2-1
Cardiff MU
Nash (35'), Harrington (90+1')
Rees (88')
Oct 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Connah's Quay
2-0
Cardiff MU
Wilde (10', 50')
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Cardiff MU
2-0
Connah's Quay
Jones (22'), Rees (83')
Lewis (17')

Nash (34'), Wilde (49'), Horan (62'), Malkin (65')
Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Connah's Quay
0-0
Cardiff MU
Curran (7'), Horan (49'), Harrington (82')
Lang (90+2'), Roscrow (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
3Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
4Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
5Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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