Connah's Quay

2 - 1

Colwyn Bay

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 17.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Colwyn Bay win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.