MX23RW : Wednesday, October 2 17:51:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Llanelian Road

Colwyn Bay
0 - 1
New Saints


Turner (33'), Williams (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cieslewicz (54')
Astles (90+7')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Colwyn Bay and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colwyn Bay

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 1-0 Colwyn Bay
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 2-2 Barry
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 51.52%. A win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Colwyn Bay win was 2-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Colwyn BayDrawThe New Saints
25.62% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 22.85% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09) 51.52% (0.133 0.13)
Both teams to score 59.53% (0.296 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.18% (0.40799999999999 0.41)40.82% (-0.404 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.79% (0.416 0.42)63.21% (-0.411 -0.41)
Colwyn Bay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.84% (0.19199999999999 0.19)29.17% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.9% (0.234 0.23)65.1% (-0.23 -0.23)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.05% (0.196 0.2)15.96% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.76% (0.356 0.36)45.24% (-0.352 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Colwyn Bay 25.62%
    The New Saints 51.52%
    Draw 22.85%
Colwyn BayDrawThe New Saints
2-1 @ 6.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.73% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-0 @ 3.53% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.025 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.45% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 25.62%
1-1 @ 10.52% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.95% (0.03 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.65% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.85%
1-2 @ 9.66%
0-1 @ 8.54% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-2 @ 7.84% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.91% (0.039 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.64% (0.042 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.71% (0.035 0.03)
0-4 @ 2.2% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.67% (0.03 0.03)
1-5 @ 1% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 51.52%

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