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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Llanelian Road

Colwyn Bay
1 - 2
Haverfordwest

Hill (56')
Creamer (54'), Creamer (55'), Jones (58'), Turner (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Whitmore (70'), Taylor-Crossdale (87')
Jenkins (37'), Fawcett (90+6')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Colwyn Bay and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colwyn Bay 0-1 New Saints
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Barry 2-2 Haverfordwest
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colwyn Bay win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colwyn Bay win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Colwyn BayDrawHaverfordwest County
46.9% (-1.495 -1.5) 24.83% (0.368 0.37) 28.27% (1.129 1.13)
Both teams to score 55.14% (-0.337 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.34% (-0.844 -0.84)47.66% (0.845 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.14% (-0.785 -0.79)69.86% (0.786 0.79)
Colwyn Bay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.63% (-0.96199999999999 -0.96)20.38% (0.964 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.21% (-1.555 -1.56)52.79% (1.555 1.56)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.25% (0.411 0.41)30.75% (-0.409 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99% (0.481 0.48)67.02% (-0.479 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Colwyn Bay 46.9%
    Haverfordwest County 28.27%
    Draw 24.82%
Colwyn BayDrawHaverfordwest County
1-0 @ 9.97% (0.052 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-0 @ 7.93% (-0.198 -0.2)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.22 -0.22)
3-0 @ 4.2% (-0.237 -0.24)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.15 -0.15)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.148 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 46.9%
1-1 @ 11.75% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.217 0.22)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.39% (0.336 0.34)
1-2 @ 6.93% (0.19 0.19)
0-2 @ 4.36% (0.245 0.25)
1-3 @ 2.72% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.115 0.12)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 28.27%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints15110442172533
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Briton Ferry1532101830-1211
11Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510


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