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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Llanelian Road

Colwyn Bay
1 - 2
Haverfordwest

Hill (56')
Creamer (54'), Creamer (55'), Jones (58'), Turner (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Whitmore (70'), Taylor-Crossdale (87')
Jenkins (37'), Fawcett (90+6')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Colwyn Bay and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colwyn Bay 0-1 New Saints
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Barry 2-2 Haverfordwest
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colwyn Bay win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colwyn Bay win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Colwyn BayDrawHaverfordwest County
46.9% (-1.495 -1.5) 24.83% (0.368 0.37) 28.27% (1.129 1.13)
Both teams to score 55.14% (-0.337 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.34% (-0.844 -0.84)47.66% (0.845 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.14% (-0.785 -0.79)69.86% (0.786 0.79)
Colwyn Bay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.63% (-0.96199999999999 -0.96)20.38% (0.964 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.21% (-1.555 -1.56)52.79% (1.555 1.56)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.25% (0.411 0.41)30.75% (-0.409 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99% (0.481 0.48)67.02% (-0.479 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Colwyn Bay 46.9%
    Haverfordwest County 28.27%
    Draw 24.82%
Colwyn BayDrawHaverfordwest County
1-0 @ 9.97% (0.052 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-0 @ 7.93% (-0.198 -0.2)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.22 -0.22)
3-0 @ 4.2% (-0.237 -0.24)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.15 -0.15)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.148 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 46.9%
1-1 @ 11.75% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.217 0.22)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.39% (0.336 0.34)
1-2 @ 6.93% (0.19 0.19)
0-2 @ 4.36% (0.245 0.25)
1-3 @ 2.72% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.115 0.12)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 28.27%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277


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