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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Sep 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Llanelian Road

Colwyn Bay
3 - 1
Aberystwyth

Creamer (13'), Jones (27'), Akpan (49')
Akpan (71'), Rushton (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lewis (45+1')
Thorn (81')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Colwyn Bay and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colwyn Bay

All competitions
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-1 Colwyn Bay
Saturday, September 9 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 2-4 Caernarfon
Saturday, September 9 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colwyn Bay win with a probability of 64.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colwyn Bay win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 1-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-2 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colwyn Bay would win this match.

Result
Colwyn BayDrawAberystwyth Town
64.89% (0.24799999999999 0.25) 19.08% (-0.041 -0.04) 16.02% (-0.205 -0.21)
Both teams to score 57.28% (-0.347 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.38% (-0.221 -0.22)36.61% (0.224 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.23% (-0.242 -0.24)58.77% (0.244 0.24)
Colwyn Bay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.38% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)10.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.57% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)34.42% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.08% (-0.387 -0.39)35.92% (0.388 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.31% (-0.398 -0.4)72.69% (0.40000000000001 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Colwyn Bay 64.89%
    Aberystwyth Town 16.02%
    Draw 19.08%
Colwyn BayDrawAberystwyth Town
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 9.59% (0.104 0.1)
1-0 @ 8.55% (0.093 0.09)
3-1 @ 7.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 7.17% (0.077 0.08)
4-1 @ 4.12%
4-0 @ 4.02% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.76% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.11% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.8% (0.019 0.02)
5-2 @ 0.95% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 64.89%
1-1 @ 8.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.81% (0.042 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.08%
1-2 @ 4.48% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-1 @ 3.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 16.02%

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