MX23RW : Monday, March 10 19:49:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Mar 8, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Bryntirion Park
Bala Town logo

Pen-y-Bont
3 - 2
Bala Town

Crole (15', 90+5'), Pritchard (61')
Woodiwiss (25'), Owen (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Malkin (51', 76')
Robles (33'), Malkin (58'), Malkin (58'), Lloyd (84')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Bala Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Caernarfon 3-2 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, February 22 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 0-2 New Saints
Friday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 51.19%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Bala Town had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Bala Town win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawBala Town
51.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 26.21% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 22.6% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.87% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.73% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)57.27% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.89% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)78.11% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.53% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)22.47% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.98% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)56.01% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.16% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)40.84% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.59% (-0.032 -0.03)77.41% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 51.17%
    Bala Town 22.6%
    Draw 26.2%
Pen-y-BontDrawBala Town
1-0 @ 13.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.22%
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 5.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.9% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 51.17%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 9.18% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 8.22% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.49% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 1.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 22.6%

Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Pen-y-Bont
1-1
Bala Town
Phillips (41')
Burke (90+4')
Newell (54'), Higgins (85')
Aug 31, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Bala Town
1-2
Pen-y-Bont
Lloyd (18')
Newell (31'), Reffell (69')
Newell (32')
Crole (51'), Green (66')
Pritchard (29'), Borge (32'), Crole (84'), Crole (90+2')
Dec 2, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 18
Pen-y-Bont
0-2
Bala Town

Little (25'), MacDonald (39'), Davies (52'), Evans (90+1')
Mendes (4'), Edwards (12')
Shannon (39')
Sep 2, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Bala Town
2-1
Pen-y-Bont
Newell (17'), Arsan (25')
Arsan (65')
Davies (58')
MacDonald (26'), Little (37'), Yorwerth (53'), Harling (81')
Mar 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Pen-y-Bont
2-2
Bala Town
Clutton (4'), Owen (88')
Nalatche Mendes (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints27220576284866
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont27166548272154
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest27139535191648
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU27125104137441
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon27125104444041
6Bala TownBala Town2771193434032
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry2711794246-440
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay271051239291035
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2793153754-1730
4Briton Ferry2774164257-1525
5Newtown AFCNewtown2767143052-2225
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2752202263-4117
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514


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