Women's Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 20, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Estadi Johan Cruyff
Barcelona0 - 1Chelsea Women
The Match
Match Report
Chelsea make Women's Champions League history in a shock 1-0 semi-final first-leg win over holders Barcelona thanks to an Erin Cuthbert goal.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Champions League clash between Barcelona Women and Chelsea Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barcelona 3-1 Brann
Thursday, March 28 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Thursday, March 28 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 3-0 Aston Villa
Wednesday, April 17 at 7pm in Women's Super League
Wednesday, April 17 at 7pm in Women's Super League
Goals
for
for
53
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 80.9%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 7.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.68%), while for a Chelsea Women win it was 1-2 (2.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
80.9% ( 0.03) | 11.42% ( -0.01) | 7.67% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.71% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
