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Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 23, 2022 at 8pm UK
Wheatsheaf Park

Chelsea Women
2 - 0
Real Madrid

Ingle (67'), Cuthbert (76')
James (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gonzalez (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Champions League clash between Chelsea Women and Real Madrid Femenino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea Women 3-0 Spurs Ladies
Sunday, November 20 at 1pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Real Madrid 0-0 PSG
Wednesday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

We said: Chelsea Women 2-1 Real Madrid Femenino

Real Madrid are yet to lose an away game this season, but we think that their unbeaten run will come to an end against a Chelsea side that have won their last nine games in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 67.34%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Real Madrid Femenino had a probability of 13.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Real Madrid Femenino win it was 0-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Chelsea Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Chelsea Women.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawReal Madrid Femenino
67.34% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01) 19.65% (0.0040000000000013 0) 13.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 47.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.2% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)45.8% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.89% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)68.12% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)12.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.24% (-0.012 -0.01)38.76% (0.012 0.01)
Real Madrid Femenino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.13%45.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.38%81.62%
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 67.33%
    Real Madrid Femenino 13.01%
    Draw 19.65%
Chelsea WomenDrawReal Madrid Femenino
2-0 @ 12.4%
1-0 @ 11.98%
2-1 @ 9.67%
3-0 @ 8.55% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 6.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 4.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 3.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.6%
5-0 @ 1.83% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3%
Total : 67.33%
1-1 @ 9.34% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 5.79% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-2 @ 3.77%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 19.65%
0-1 @ 4.52% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 3.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.76% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 0.98%
1-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 13.01%

How you voted: Chelsea Women vs Real Madrid

Chelsea Women
81.5%
Draw
7.4%
Real Madrid Femenino
11.1%
27
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12West Ham UnitedWest Ham72231011-18
13Bournemouth7223810-28
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