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Women's Champions League | Second Round | 2nd Leg
Sep 25, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
AOK Stadion

Wolfsburg
5 - 0
Fiorentina

Kalma (3'), Endemann (33', 49'), Brand (77'), Wassmuth (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Toniolo (45'), Pastrenge (87')
Pastrenge (90+3')
Coverage of the Women's Champions League Second Round clash between Wolfsburg Women and Fiorentina Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg Women

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Last Game: Fiorentina 0-7 Wolfsburg
Wednesday, September 18 at 7pm in Women's Champions League
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Fiorentina Women

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Last Game: Fiorentina 0-7 Wolfsburg
Wednesday, September 18 at 7pm in Women's Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg Women win with a probability of 68.93%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Fiorentina Women had a probability of 14.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 3-1 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.47%), while for a Fiorentina Women win it was 1-2 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg Women would win this match.

Result
Wolfsburg WomenDrawFiorentina Women
68.93% (-0.32599999999999 -0.33) 17.01% (0.148 0.15) 14.05% (0.181 0.18)
Both teams to score 60.12% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.29% (-0.31599999999999 -0.32)30.71% (0.32 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.96% (-0.379 -0.38)52.04% (0.383 0.38)
Wolfsburg Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.9% (-0.145 -0.14)8.1% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.55% (-0.371 -0.37)28.45% (0.377 0.38)
Fiorentina Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.41% (0.024000000000001 0.02)34.58% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.69% (0.024999999999999 0.02)71.3% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg Women 68.93%
    Fiorentina Women 14.05%
    Draw 17.01%
Wolfsburg WomenDrawFiorentina Women
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.85% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.87% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.41% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.04% (0.074 0.07)
4-1 @ 4.95% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
4-0 @ 4.66% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.18% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.63% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.49% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-0 @ 2.34% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.32% (-0.024 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.04% (-0.027 -0.03)
6-0 @ 0.98% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-3 @ 0.93% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 68.93%
1-1 @ 7.47% (0.083 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.8% (0.05 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 17.01%
1-2 @ 3.97% (0.047 0.05)
0-1 @ 2.97% (0.055 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.58% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.4% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 14.05%

Head to Head
Sep 18, 2024 7pm
Second Round 1st Leg
Fiorentina
0-7
Wolfsburg

Tortelli (45'), Catena (72'), Luisa Filangeri (79')
Hegering (6', 24'), Popp (38', 53', 57'), Brand (44'), Endemann (83')
Endemann (78')
rhs 2.0
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