Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 87.77%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 3.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 4-0 (10.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.11%), while for a Bristol City Women win it was 0-1 (1.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.