Aston Villa1 - 2Man City Women
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, May 4 at 1pm in Women's Super League
for
Sunday, May 5 at 2.15pm in Women's Super League
for
We said: Aston Villa Women 1-3 Manchester City Women
Man City have won nine of their 10 away league matches, and we think that they will produce another strong away performance to claim all three points, but they may struggle to achieve the three-goal swing in goal difference and such a scenario would leave them relying on a favour from their local rivals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 77.59%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 8.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.22%) and 1-2 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.08%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 2-1 (2.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
8.86% (![]() | 13.55% (![]() | 77.59% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.21% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.77% (![]() | 28.23% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.97% (![]() | 49.02% (![]() |
Aston Villa Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.65% (![]() | 41.35% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.13% (![]() | 77.86% (![]() |
Manchester City Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.13% (![]() | 5.87% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.49% (![]() | 22.51% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
2-1 @ 2.68% (![]() 1-0 @ 2.14% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.12% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 1.97% Total : 8.86% | 1-1 @ 6.08% (![]() 2-2 @ 3.8% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.43% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 13.55% | 0-2 @ 9.76% (![]() 0-3 @ 9.22% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 8.62% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 8.14% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 6.88% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 6.54% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 5.77% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 3.71% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.6% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 3.27% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 0-6 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 1-6 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 1.45% ( ![]() Other @ 4.79% Total : 77.59% |
How you voted: Aston Villa vs Man City Women
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
![Laporta issues Chelsea, Liverpool warning with Williams Barcelona claim Laporta issues Chelsea, Liverpool warning with Williams Barcelona claim](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
![Ten-goal friendly, Euros thrillers: Classic matches between Netherlands and England Ten-goal friendly, Euros thrillers: Classic matches between Netherlands and England](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
![Carlos Alcaraz vs. Tommy Paul - prediction, head-to-head, tournament so far Carlos Alcaraz vs. Tommy Paul - prediction, head-to-head, tournament so far](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
![Jannik Sinner vs. Daniil Medvedev - prediction, head-to-head, tournament so far Jannik Sinner vs. Daniil Medvedev - prediction, head-to-head, tournament so far](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
![English competition? Man United 'considering move' for Chelsea defender English competition? Man United 'considering move' for Chelsea defender](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
![Could Jaden Philogene turn down Barcelona for a Premier League newcomer? Could Jaden Philogene turn down Barcelona for a Premier League newcomer?](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
![Arrizabalaga handed Chelsea escape route with 'significant' offer Arrizabalaga handed Chelsea escape route with 'significant' offer](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
![Astronomical wages? Branthwaite 'responds' to Man United contract offer Astronomical wages? Branthwaite 'responds' to Man United contract offer](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
![Transfer news and rumours: Trafford to Newcastle, O'Riley to Leicester Transfer news and rumours: Trafford to Newcastle, O'Riley to Leicester](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
!["We are so proud" - Arsenal sell young striker in club-record deal "We are so proud" - Arsenal sell young striker in club-record deal](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
![As featured on NewsNow: Sport news As featured on NewsNow: Sport news](https://sm.imgix.net/12/40/newsnow_f_ab.gif?w=160&h=50)