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Women's Super League | Gameweek 1
Feb 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
 

Brighton Women
2 - 6
Aston Villa

Zigiotti-Olme (3'), Carter (49' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-5)
Staniforth (15'), Hanson (17'), Nobbs (23', 43', 69'), Daly (36')
Mayling (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion Women and Aston Villa Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-1 Brighton Women
Saturday, February 4 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-1 Brighton Women
Saturday, February 4 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Brighton & Hove Albion Women 1-2 Aston Villa Women

Aston Villa were unable to hold onto a slender lead when the two sides met last weekend, but after winning their two away games against Brighton, we think the Villans will edge out their hosts on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion WomenDrawAston Villa Women
35% (-0.882 -0.88) 24.78% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05) 40.22% (0.94 0.94)
Both teams to score 58.34% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.18% (0.125 0.13)44.82% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.83% (0.122 0.12)67.18% (-0.117 -0.12)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02% (-0.43599999999999 -0.44)24.99% (0.441 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.36% (-0.613 -0.61)59.64% (0.619 0.62)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (0.523 0.52)22.23% (-0.519 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.34% (0.777 0.78)55.66% (-0.772 -0.77)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 35%
    Aston Villa Women 40.22%
    Draw 24.77%
Brighton & Hove Albion WomenDrawAston Villa Women
2-1 @ 8.03% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-0 @ 7.7% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 5.34% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-1 @ 3.71% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.47% (-0.11 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 35%
1-1 @ 11.58% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.56% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.77%
1-2 @ 8.71% (0.112 0.11)
0-1 @ 8.35% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 6.28% (0.159 0.16)
1-3 @ 4.37% (0.122 0.12)
0-3 @ 3.15% (0.126 0.13)
2-3 @ 3.03% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.64% (0.071 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.18% (0.065 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 40.22%

Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 12.30pm
Aston Villa
1-1
Brighton Women
Green (33' og.)
Mayling (90+2')
Zigiotti-Olme (74')
Kullberg (90+1')
Mar 5, 2022 11.30am
Mar 17, 2021 7.30pm
Aston Villa
0-2
Brighton Women

Arthur (45+3'), Hutton (65'), Weiss (80')
Whelan (21'), Kaagman (81' pen.)
Nov 8, 2020 2pm
Brighton Women
0-2
Aston Villa

Simpkins (68'), Kerkdijk (82'), Bowman (84'), Connolly (88')
Asante (59'), Petzelberger (90+2')
Hutton (71')
rhs 2.0
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