Brighton Women2 - 6Aston Villa
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, February 4 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
for
Saturday, February 4 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
for
We said: Brighton & Hove Albion Women 1-2 Aston Villa Women
Aston Villa were unable to hold onto a slender lead when the two sides met last weekend, but after winning their two away games against Brighton, we think the Villans will edge out their hosts on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Brighton & Hove Albion Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
35% ( -0.88) | 24.78% ( -0.05) | 40.22% ( 0.94) |
Both teams to score 58.34% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.18% ( 0.13) | 44.82% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.83% ( 0.12) | 67.18% ( -0.12) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.02% ( -0.44) | 24.99% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.36% ( -0.61) | 59.64% ( 0.62) |
Aston Villa Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.77% ( 0.52) | 22.23% ( -0.52) |