World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 6, 2024 at 11.45am UK
Shahid Ahsan Ullah Master Stadium (Tongi)
Bangladesh0 - 2Australia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bangladesh 0-1 Palestine
Tuesday, March 26 at 9.30am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Tuesday, March 26 at 9.30am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
We said: Bangladesh 0-4 Australia
Sitting 160 places above Bangladesh in the FIFA rankings, Australia can expect to wrap up top spot in Group I with the minimum of fuss. The Socceroos scored seven times in November's reverse fixture, but as they are already qualified and may field an unfamiliar lineup, the outcome could be a little less spectacular in Dhaka. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Bangladesh had a probability of 21.04%.
The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.63%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Bangladesh win it was 1-0 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bangladesh | Draw | Australia |
21.04% ( -0.89) | 25.3% ( 0.34) | 53.66% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 46.46% ( -2.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
