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Bangladesh national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 6, 2024 at 11.45am UK
Shahid Ahsan Ullah Master Stadium (Tongi)
Australia national football team

Bangladesh
0 - 2
Australia


Hossain (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hrustic (29'), Yengi (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Bangladesh and Australia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bangladesh 0-1 Palestine
Tuesday, March 26 at 9.30am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Lebanon 0-5 Australia
Tuesday, March 26 at 8.45am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Bangladesh 0-4 Australia

Sitting 160 places above Bangladesh in the FIFA rankings, Australia can expect to wrap up top spot in Group I with the minimum of fuss. The Socceroos scored seven times in November's reverse fixture, but as they are already qualified and may field an unfamiliar lineup, the outcome could be a little less spectacular in Dhaka. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Bangladesh had a probability of 21.04%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.63%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Bangladesh win it was 1-0 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.

Result
BangladeshDrawAustralia
21.04% (-0.891 -0.89) 25.3% (0.336 0.34) 53.66% (0.555 0.56)
Both teams to score 46.46% (-2.084 -2.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.51% (-2.157 -2.16)55.49% (2.157 2.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.32% (-1.797 -1.8)76.68% (1.797 1.8)
Bangladesh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.59% (-2.144 -2.14)41.41% (2.144 2.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.08% (-1.944 -1.94)77.92% (1.944 1.94)
Australia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.3% (-0.631 -0.63)20.7% (0.631 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.7% (-1.004 -1)53.3% (1.004 1)
Score Analysis
    Bangladesh 21.04%
    Australia 53.65%
    Draw 25.3%
BangladeshDrawAustralia
1-0 @ 7.56% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 5.25% (-0.283 -0.28)
2-0 @ 3.33% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-1 @ 1.54% (-0.181 -0.18)
3-2 @ 1.21% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-0 @ 0.98% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 21.04%
1-1 @ 11.9% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 8.57% (0.691 0.69)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.308 -0.31)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 13.5% (0.85 0.85)
0-2 @ 10.63% (0.47 0.47)
1-2 @ 9.37% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-3 @ 5.58% (0.142 0.14)
1-3 @ 4.92% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-4 @ 2.2% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.207 -0.21)
1-4 @ 1.94% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 53.65%

How you voted: Bangladesh vs Australia

Bangladesh
12.0%
Draw
20.0%
Australia
68.0%
25
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2023 9.10am
Second Round
Australia
7-0
Bangladesh
Souttar (4'), Borrello (20'), Duke (37', 40'), MacLaren (49', 70', 84')
Baccus (55')

Hossain (14'), Murad (51'), Uddin (73')
rhs 2.0
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