World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Oct 10, 2021 at 5pm UK
Madagascar1 - 0Congo DR
Njiva Rakotoharimalala (1')
Njiva Rakotoharimalala (32'), Boyer (90+2')
Njiva Rakotoharimalala (32'), Boyer (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moutoussamy (41')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Congo DR had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 2-1 (7.41%). The likeliest Congo DR win was 0-1 (12.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Madagascar in this match.
| Result | ||
| Madagascar | Draw | Congo DR |
| 37.9% | 30% | 32.1% |
| Both teams to score 41.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
