World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Mar 29, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

Azadi Stadium, Tehran

Iran
2 - 0
Lebanon

Azmoun (35'), Jahanbakhsh (72')
Ezatolahi (14')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kadouh (31'), Haidar (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iran and Lebanon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iran

Last Six:

Last Game: Iran 2-0 Lebanon
Tuesday, March 29 at 12.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: England vs. Iran
Monday, November 21 at 1pm in World Cup

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain	3	1	5
2	Portugal	3	1	5
3	Iran	3	0	4
4	Morocco	3	-2	1

Lebanon

Last Game: Iran 2-0 Lebanon
Tuesday, March 29 at 12.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Iran have several key players missing at the top end of the pitch but should still have enough to see off the threat of Lebanon. We are backing the hosts to claim all three points come the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 61.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Lebanon had a probability of 16.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.08%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Lebanon win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Iran in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Iran.

Result
Iran	Draw	Lebanon
61.21%	22.65%	16.14%

Both teams to score 45.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.01%

51.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.27%

73.72%

Iran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.44%

16.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.67%

46.33%

Lebanon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.87%

45.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.96%

81.03%

Score Analysis

Iran 61.2%

Lebanon 16.14%

Draw 22.65%

Iran	Draw	Lebanon
1-0 @ 13.43% 2-0 @ 12.08% 2-1 @ 9.61% 3-0 @ 7.24% 3-1 @ 5.76% 4-0 @ 3.26% 4-1 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 2.29% 5-0 @ 1.17% 4-2 @ 1.03% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.79% Total : 61.2%	1-1 @ 10.69% 0-0 @ 7.47% 2-2 @ 3.83% Other @ 0.67% Total : 22.65%	0-1 @ 5.94% 1-2 @ 4.25% 0-2 @ 2.37% 1-3 @ 1.13% 2-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.43% Total : 16.14%