Argentina may have to do without Messi, Di Maria and Otamendi, but their squad still boasts an array of talent, and with a number of fringe players eager to impress, we think that the visitors will ease to a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Argentina had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Argentina win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result
Indonesia	Draw	Argentina
43.96% ( 30.71)	22.46% ( 2.17)	33.58% ( -32.88)

Both teams to score 66.55% (

20.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.08% (

14.06)

33.93% (

-14.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.22% (

14.38)

55.78% (

-14.38)

Indonesia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.9% (

30.76)

16.1% (

-30.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.5% (

36.88)

45.5% (

-36.88)

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.32% (

-7.13)

20.68% (

7.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.73% (

-12.63)

53.27% (

12.63)

Score Analysis

Indonesia 43.96%

Argentina 33.58%

Draw 22.46%

Indonesia	Draw	Argentina
2-1 @ 8.75% ( 5.1) 1-0 @ 6.08% ( 1.27) 2-0 @ 5.55% ( 3.73) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 4.41) 3-2 @ 4.2% ( 3.28) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( 2.92) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( 2.26) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( 1.74) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 1.46) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.89) Other @ 3.77% Total : 43.96%	1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.9% ( 3.25) 0-0 @ 3.33% ( -3.02) 3-3 @ 2.21% ( 1.59) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.46%	1-2 @ 7.55% ( -2.06) 0-1 @ 5.25% ( -7.44) 0-2 @ 4.14% ( -8.55) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( -2.44) 2-3 @ 3.62% ( 1.2) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( -6.28) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -1.64) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.22) Other @ 3.89% Total : 33.58%