While Iraq will be satisfied with their form heading into this contest, we have to expect that Qatar will showcase the better quality on Friday. With that in mind, we are predicting a hard-earned win for Queiroz's side, one which will get them back on track. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Iraq had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.3%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Iraq win was 0-1 (12.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Qatar	Draw	Iraq
37.02% ( 0.21)	30.05% ( 0.13)	32.93% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 41.88% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.65% (

-0.43)

65.35% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.87% (

-0.3)

84.13% (

0.3)

Qatar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.13% (

-0.09)

33.87% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.46% (

-0.1)

70.54% (

0.1)

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.32% (

-0.48)

36.68% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.54% (

-0.48)

73.46% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Qatar 37.01%

Iraq 32.93%

Draw 30.05%

Qatar	Draw	Iraq
1-0 @ 13.44% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.41% Total : 37.01%	1-1 @ 13.49% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.42% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.47% Total : 30.05%	0-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.88% Total : 32.93%