World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 20, 2023 at 7pm UK

Stade 26 Mars

Mali
1 - 1
CAR

Doumbia (76')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kondogbia (79')
Pirioua (40'), Youfeigane (66')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Mali and Central African Republic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mali

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Mali 3-1 Chad
Friday, November 17 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Next Game: CAR vs. Mali
Monday, November 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Tunisia	0	0	0
2	Mali	0	0	0
3	South Africa	0	0	0
4	Namibia	0	0	0

Central African Republic

Last Game: Comoros 4-2 CAR
Friday, November 17 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Next Game: CAR vs. Mali
Monday, November 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Mali 2-1 Central African Republic

Mali's momentum heading into this one makes them favourites to come out on top, and coupled with the added advantage of playing on home turf, we are tipping them to carry the day come the sound of the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 77.33%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 6.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.63%) and 3-0 (12.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.18%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 0-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Mali	Draw	Central African Republic
77.33% ( -0.22)	16.29% ( -0.16)	6.38% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 32.47% (

2.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49% (

1.91)

50.99% (

-1.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.13% (

1.65)

72.86% (

-1.66)

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.67% (

0.47)

11.32% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64% (

1.02)

35.99% (

-1.03)

Central African Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

36.61% (

2.27)

63.38% (

-2.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.71% (

0.99)

92.28% (

-1)

Score Analysis

Mali 77.31%

Central African Republic 6.38%

Draw 16.29%

Mali	Draw	Central African Republic
2-0 @ 17.02% ( -0.67) 1-0 @ 15.63% ( -0.92) 3-0 @ 12.36% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.32) 4-0 @ 6.73% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.34) 4-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.24) 5-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.17) 6-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.48% Total : 77.31%	0-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.57) 1-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.2) Other @ 0.21% Total : 16.29%	0-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.16) Other @ 1.48% Total : 6.38%