MX23RW : Wednesday, March 26 10:26:26| >> :60:55:55:
World Cup header WWW

World Cup
Mozambique national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 7, 2024 at 2pm UK
Estadio Nacional do Zimpeto
Somalia national football team

Mozambique
2 - 1
Somalia

Amade (14'), Ratifo (29')
Ratifo (55'), Ali (55'), Gigli (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Shirwa (66')
Catamo (55'), Abdullahi (55'), Ali (90+2'), Gigli (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Mozambique and Somalia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mozambique

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Mozambique 2-2 Ghana
Monday, January 22 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Somalia

Last Game: Eswatini 2-2 Somalia
Tuesday, March 26 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Mozambique 2-0 Somalia

 Mozambique have named a solid squad heading to the two qualifying games and will be backing themselves against Somalia who have lost seven of their last eight games. We predict a one-sided affair at the Estadio do Zimpeto, with the hosts claiming a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 80.69%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Somalia had a probability of 6.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.7%) and 1-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.16%), while for a Somalia win it was 0-1 (2.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mozambique would win this match.

Result
MozambiqueDrawSomalia
80.69% (0.010999999999996 0.01) 12.94% (-0.0039999999999996 -0) 6.36% (-0.0088999999999997 -0.01)
Both teams to score 43.6% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.34% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)35.66% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.28% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)57.72% (0.012 0.01)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.16% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)6.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.17%
Somalia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.8% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)53.2% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.22% (-0.02 -0.02)86.78% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Mozambique 80.67%
    Somalia 6.36%
    Draw 12.94%
MozambiqueDrawSomalia
2-0 @ 13.08%
3-0 @ 11.7%
1-0 @ 9.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-0 @ 7.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 4.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 4.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 2.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 1.89% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
6-1 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 80.67%
1-1 @ 6.16% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 3.64% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-2 @ 2.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 12.94%
0-1 @ 2.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 1.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 6.36%

How you voted: Mozambique vs Somalia

Mozambique
85.0%
Draw
10.0%
Somalia
5.0%
20
rhs 2.0
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