Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Preliminary Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 26, 2024 at 1pm UK
Mbombela Stadium
Eswatini2 - 2Somalia
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Preliminary Round clash between Eswatini and Somalia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Somalia 0-3 Eswatini
Wednesday, March 20 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Wednesday, March 20 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Somalia 0-3 Eswatini
Wednesday, March 20 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Wednesday, March 20 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 78.16%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Somalia had a probability of 7.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.57%) and 1-0 (11.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Somalia win it was 0-1 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Eswatini | Draw | Somalia |
78.16% ( -0.24) | 14.67% ( 0.19) | 7.17% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 41.53% ( -0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.12% ( -0.73) | 40.88% ( 0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.73% ( -0.75) | 63.27% ( 0.75) |
Eswatini Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.45% ( -0.23) | 8.55% ( 0.23) |