World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stade Municipal de Berkane
Somalia0 - 1Uganda
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Algeria 3-1 Somalia
Thursday, November 16 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Thursday, November 16 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
We said: Somalia 1-2 Uganda
Somalia did extremely well to score against Algeria last time out, and we believe that the Ocean Stars will be able to give Uganda a tough test on Tuesday night. The Cranes will be keenly aware that meetings with Somalia are must-win matches if they are to compete at the top end of the section, and we are expecting the visitors to come out on top. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 90.79%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for Somalia had a probability of 1.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 0-2 with a probability of 20.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (18.75%) and 0-1 (14.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (5.23%), while for a Somalia win it was 1-0 (0.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uganda would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Somalia | Draw | Uganda |
1.21% ( -0.14) | 8.01% ( -0.34) | 90.79% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 14.62% ( -0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
