MX23RW : Friday, November 22 03:32:14| >> :120:7023:7023:
Mozambique national football team
Friendlies 3
Jan 6, 2024 at 2pm UK
FNB Stadium
Lesotho national football team

Mozambique
2 - 0
Lesotho

Mandava (27'), King (81' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Mozambique and Lesotho.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mozambique

All competitions
Last Game: Mozambique 0-2 Algeria
Sunday, November 19 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Lesotho

Last Game: Lesotho 0-0 Benin
Tuesday, November 21 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Lesotho had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Lesotho win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mozambique would win this match.

Result
MozambiqueDrawLesotho
41.39% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06) 27.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 30.87% (0.073 0.07)
Both teams to score 47.61% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.96% (0.038000000000004 0.04)58.04% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.28% (0.030999999999999 0.03)78.72% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.4% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)27.6% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.87% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)63.13% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Lesotho Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.76% (0.072999999999993 0.07)34.24% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.06% (0.076000000000001 0.08)70.94% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Mozambique 41.38%
    Lesotho 30.87%
    Draw 27.73%
MozambiqueDrawLesotho
1-0 @ 12.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 7.83% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.6% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 41.38%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 9.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.73%
0-1 @ 10.12%
1-2 @ 6.99% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.43% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 30.87%

Head to Head
Jul 10, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Mozambique
0-1
Lesotho

Martinho (71')
Mokhachane (34')
Makepe (41')
rhs 2.0
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