Friendlies 3
Jan 6, 2024 at 2pm UK
FNB Stadium
Mozambique2 - 0Lesotho
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Mozambique and Lesotho.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mozambique 0-2 Algeria
Sunday, November 19 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Sunday, November 19 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ghana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Egypt | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Lesotho 0-0 Benin
Tuesday, November 21 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Tuesday, November 21 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Lesotho had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Lesotho win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mozambique would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mozambique | Draw | Lesotho |
41.39% ( -0.06) | 27.74% ( -0) | 30.87% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 47.61% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
