Friendlies 3

Oct 14, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

Stade Municipal de Berrechid

Niger
3 - 0
Somalia

Amoustapha (9'), Wonkoye (26' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-0)

Data Analysis

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Niger and Somalia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Niger

All competitions

Last Game: Niger 0-2 Uganda
Thursday, September 7 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ghana	3	4	7
2	Mali	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Niger	3	-4	1

Somalia

Last Game: Djibouti 1-0 Somalia
Tuesday, June 15 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Niger win with a probability of 61.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Somalia had a probability of 15.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Niger win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Somalia win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Niger would win this match.

Result
Niger	Draw	Somalia
61.53% ( 1.24)	22.61% ( -0.31)	15.86% ( -0.94)

Both teams to score 45.34% (

-1.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.72% (

-0.33)

52.27% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.03% (

-0.28)

73.97% (

0.28)

Niger Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.45% (

0.31)

16.54% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.69% (

0.56)

46.31% (

-0.56)

Somalia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.33% (

-1.43)

45.67% (

1.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.54% (

-1.14)

81.46% (

1.14)

Score Analysis

Niger 61.52%

Somalia 15.86%

Draw 22.61%

Niger	Draw	Somalia
1-0 @ 13.59% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.78% Total : 61.52%	1-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.64% Total : 22.61%	0-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.37% Total : 15.86%