Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Papua New Guinea and New Caledonia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: P. New Guinea 1-3 Solomon Islands
Sunday, October 8 at 4am in International Friendlies
Sunday, October 8 at 4am in International Friendlies
Last Game: New Caledonia 4-0 Vanuatu
Sunday, October 8 at 7am in International Friendlies
Sunday, October 8 at 7am in International Friendlies
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Papua New Guinea win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for New Caledonia had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Papua New Guinea win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest New Caledonia win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Papua New Guinea | Draw | New Caledonia |
42.12% ( 0.15) | 24.48% ( -0.05) | 33.4% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 58.97% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
