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World Cup
Solomon Islands national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2024 at 3am UK
PNG Football Stadium
New Caledonia national football team

Solomon Islands
2 - 3
New Caledonia

Le'ai (9'), Wae (39')
Kaua (58')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Athale (6' pen., 59' pen.), Jacob Waia (69')
Simane (90+12')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Group Stage clash between Solomon Islands and New Caledonia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Solomon Islands

Last Game: Solomon Islands 0-1 Fiji
Thursday, October 10 at 8am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Next Game: P. New Guinea vs. Solomon Islands
Sunday, November 17 at 6am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

New Caledonia

Last Game: New Caledonia 3-1 P. New Guinea
Thursday, October 10 at 5am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Next Game: Fiji vs. New Caledonia
Sunday, November 17 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Caledonia win with a probability of 61.08%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Solomon Islands had a probability of 17.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Caledonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.1%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Solomon Islands win it was 1-0 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New Caledonia would win this match.

Result
Solomon IslandsDrawNew Caledonia
17.06% (-1.748 -1.75) 21.86% (-0.689 -0.69) 61.08% (2.434 2.43)
Both teams to score 50.03% (-1.134 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.71% (0.17 0.17)47.29% (-0.172 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.48% (0.159 0.16)69.52% (-0.161 -0.16)
Solomon Islands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.86% (-1.949 -1.95)41.14% (1.947 1.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.32% (-1.778 -1.78)77.68% (1.775 1.78)
New Caledonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85% (0.858 0.86)15% (-0.86 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.55% (1.604 1.6)43.45% (-1.606 -1.61)
Score Analysis
    Solomon Islands 17.06%
    New Caledonia 61.07%
    Draw 21.85%
Solomon IslandsDrawNew Caledonia
1-0 @ 5.48% (-0.341 -0.34)
2-1 @ 4.62% (-0.403 -0.4)
2-0 @ 2.43% (-0.293 -0.29)
3-1 @ 1.37% (-0.2 -0.2)
3-2 @ 1.3% (-0.147 -0.15)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 17.06%
1-1 @ 10.39% (-0.33 -0.33)
0-0 @ 6.17% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.243 -0.24)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 21.85%
0-1 @ 11.7% (0.26 0.26)
0-2 @ 11.1% (0.57 0.57)
1-2 @ 9.86% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-3 @ 7.02% (0.554 0.55)
1-3 @ 6.24% (0.178 0.18)
0-4 @ 3.33% (0.353 0.35)
1-4 @ 2.96% (0.169 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.77% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.31% (0.008 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.26% (0.167 0.17)
1-5 @ 1.12% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 61.07%

Head to Head
Oct 14, 2023 7am
Friendlies 3
Solomon Islands
1-0
New Caledonia
Le'ai (76')
rhs 2.0
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