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Paraguay national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 11, 2021 at 11pm UK
 
Chile national football team

Paraguay
0 - 1
Chile


Morel (33'), Almiron (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Silva (56' og.)
Roco (27'), Brereton Diaz (43'), Bravo (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Paraguay and Chile, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 43.23%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Chile had a probability of 27.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
ParaguayDrawChile
43.23%29.38%27.38%
Both teams to score 41.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.32%64.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.33%83.67%
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.2%29.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.12%65.88%
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.33%40.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.74%77.26%
Score Analysis
    Paraguay 43.23%
    Chile 27.38%
    Draw 29.37%
ParaguayDrawChile
1-0 @ 14.67%
2-0 @ 8.88%
2-1 @ 7.99%
3-0 @ 3.58%
3-1 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 1.45%
4-0 @ 1.09%
4-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 43.23%
1-1 @ 13.2%
0-0 @ 12.11%
2-2 @ 3.6%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 29.37%
0-1 @ 10.9%
1-2 @ 5.94%
0-2 @ 4.91%
1-3 @ 1.78%
0-3 @ 1.47%
2-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 27.38%

How you voted: Paraguay vs Chile

Paraguay
Draw
Chile
Paraguay
29.8%
Draw
14.4%
Chile
55.8%
104
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2021 1am
Group Stage
Chile
2-0
Paraguay
Brereton Diaz (69'), Isla (72')
Aranguiz (23'), Brereton Diaz (42'), Jimenez (54')
Aranguiz (74')

Morel (15'), Perez (23'), Alderete (83')
Alderete (89')
Jun 25, 2021 1am
Group Stage
Chile
0-2
Paraguay

Brereton (45+1'), Medel (56'), Bravo (58')
Samudio (33'), Almiron (58' pen.)
Martinez (78')
Aug 31, 2017 11.30pm
Group Stage
Chile
0-3
Paraguay
Vidal (24' og.), Caceres (55'), Ortiz (92')
rhs 2.0
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