World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Nov 11, 2021 at 11pm UK

Paraguay
0 - 1
Chile

Morel (33'), Almiron (73')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Silva (56' og.)
Roco (27'), Brereton Diaz (43'), Bravo (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Paraguay and Chile, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 43.23%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Chile had a probability of 27.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Paraguay	Draw	Chile
43.23%	29.38%	27.38%

Both teams to score 41.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.32%

64.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.33%

83.67%

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.2%

29.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.12%

65.88%

Chile Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.33%

40.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.74%

77.26%

Score Analysis

Paraguay 43.23%

Chile 27.38%

Draw 29.37%

Paraguay	Draw	Chile
1-0 @ 14.67% 2-0 @ 8.88% 2-1 @ 7.99% 3-0 @ 3.58% 3-1 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.09% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.37% Total : 43.23%	1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 12.11% 2-2 @ 3.6% Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.37%	0-1 @ 10.9% 1-2 @ 5.94% 0-2 @ 4.91% 1-3 @ 1.78% 0-3 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.31% Total : 27.38%