International Friendly

Jun 3, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Ecuador
1 - 0
Nigeria

Estupinan (3')
Dominguez (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's International Friendlies clash between Ecuador and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ecuador

Last Six:

Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
Monday, June 6 at 12.30am in International Friendlies

Next Game: Ecuador vs. Mali
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30am in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	4	8	10
2	Peru	4	-2	7
3	Colombia	4	-1	4
4	Ecuador	4	-1	3
5	Venezuela	4	-4	2

Nigeria

Last Six:

Last Game: Nigeria 2-1 Sierra Leone
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Mauritius vs. Nigeria
Monday, June 13 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Ecuador and Nigeria have struggled for results and we expect them to take the game to each other in search of a morale-boosting win. However, we are backing the Super Eagles to come away with a slender victory as they boast a slightly superior crop of players scattered across all departments of the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 37.27%. A win for Nigeria had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Nigeria win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ecuador in this match.

Result
Ecuador	Draw	Nigeria
37.27% ( -0.93)	27.14% ( 0.08)	35.59% ( 0.85)

Both teams to score 50.46% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.07% (

-0.25)

54.93% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.78% (

-0.21)

76.21% (

0.21)

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.54% (

-0.67)

28.45% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.78% (

-0.84)

64.22% (

0.84)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.53% (

0.41)

29.47% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.52% (

0.5)

65.48% (

-0.5)

Score Analysis

Ecuador 37.27%

Nigeria 35.58%

Draw 27.13%

Ecuador	Draw	Nigeria
1-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.71% Total : 37.27%	1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.13%	0-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.48% Total : 35.58%