MX23RW : Monday, September 30 21:44:33| >> :60:542:542:
Mexico national football team
International Friendly
Jun 6, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Soldier Field
Ecuador national football team

Mexico
0 - 0
Ecuador


Guardado (28'), Vega (47'), Gallardo (66')
FT

Gruezo (34'), Cifuentes (41'), Caicedo (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's International Friendlies clash between Mexico and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
Monday, June 6 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Next Game: Mexico vs. Suriname
Sunday, June 12 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Six:
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
Monday, June 6 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Next Game: Ecuador vs. Mali
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Brazil4810
2Peru4-27
3Colombia4-14
4Ecuador4-13
5Venezuela4-42

We said: Mexico 2-1 Ecuador

In what should be an intriguing encounter between two sides looking to build confidence for the World Cup, we predict a tight contest that could go either way. Ultimately, we see Mexico boasting the slightly stronger squad all round and back them to bounce back from the recent defeat to Uruguay with a narrow win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 57.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 15.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.26%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.33%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
MexicoDrawEcuador
57.62% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 26.54% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 15.84% (-0.028 -0.03)
Both teams to score 35.79% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.84% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)65.16% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)84% (0.035000000000011 0.04)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.93% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)23.07% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.09% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)56.91% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.52% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)53.48% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.05% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)86.95% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 57.61%
    Ecuador 15.84%
    Draw 26.53%
MexicoDrawEcuador
1-0 @ 18.09% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 13.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.31% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.49% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.27% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 57.61%
0-0 @ 12.33% (0.02 0.02)
1-1 @ 11.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 26.53%
0-1 @ 7.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 3.55% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 15.84%

How you voted: Mexico vs Ecuador

Mexico
62.7%
Draw
7.8%
Ecuador
29.4%
51
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2021 2am
Mexico
2-3
Ecuador
Alvarado (6'), Rodriguez (59')
Alvarez (50')
Quinonez (2'), Corozo (15'), Chala (75')
Estrada (49')
Jun 10, 2019 12am
Mexico
3-2
Ecuador
Dos Santos (28'), Montes (63'), Rodriguez (77')
Mena (47'), Preciado (66')
Velasco (80'), Arboleda (88')
Jun 19, 2015 10pm
rhs 2.0
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