World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Jun 11, 2024 at 4.45pm UK

Ahmad Bin Ali Stadium

Qatar
2 - 1
India

Aymen (73'), Al-Rawi (85')
Al-Rawi (45+1'), Alganehi (45+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Chhangte (37')
Fernandes (58'), Bheke (90+1'), Ali (90+7'), Abdul Samad (90+8')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Qatar and India, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qatar

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Afghanistan 0-0 Qatar
Thursday, June 6 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Qatar	3	5	9
2	Tajikistan	3	0	4
3	China	3	-1	2
4	Lebanon	3	-4	1

India

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: India 0-0 Kuwait
Thursday, June 6 at 2.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Australia	3	3	7
2	Uzbekistan	3	3	5
3	Syria	3	0	4
4	India	3	-6	0

Qatar may have named a relatively inexperienced squad for the current international window, but we still think that they have the quality required to claim three points in Tuesday's clash with India. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 52.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for India had a probability of 22.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a India win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Qatar would win this match.

Result
Qatar	Draw	India
52.97% ( 0.93)	24.88% ( -0.23)	22.14% ( -0.7)

Both teams to score 49.04% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.18% (

0.21)

52.81% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.56% (

0.18)

74.44% (

-0.18)

Qatar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.09% (

0.46)

19.91% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.95% (

0.73)

52.05% (

-0.74)

India Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.23% (

-0.56)

38.77% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.49% (

-0.54)

75.5% (

0.54)

Score Analysis

Qatar 52.96%

India 22.14%

Draw 24.88%

Qatar	Draw	India
1-0 @ 12.45% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.75% Total : 52.96%	1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.84% Total : 24.88%	0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.48% Total : 22.14%