Asian Cup | Final
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Lusail Iconic Stadium
Jordan1 - 3Qatar
The Match
Match Report
Hosts and holders Qatar end Jordan's fairytale run to become only the second team this century to win back-to-back Asian Cup titles.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Asian Cup clash between Jordan and Qatar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Jordan 2-0 South Korea
Tuesday, February 6 at 3pm in Asian Cup
Tuesday, February 6 at 3pm in Asian Cup
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bahrain | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Jordan | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Malaysia | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Last Game: Iran 2-3 Qatar
Wednesday, February 7 at 3pm in Asian Cup
Wednesday, February 7 at 3pm in Asian Cup
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Qatar | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Tajikistan | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | China | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Lebanon | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jordan win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Qatar had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jordan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Qatar win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Qatar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jordan | Draw | Qatar |
38.9% ( -0.01) | 26.68% | 34.41% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.76% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
