Romania

3 - 2

N. Macedonia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 51.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for North Macedonia had a probability of 23.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a North Macedonia win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.