World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Oct 10, 2021 at 2pm UK
Uganda1 - 0Rwanda
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Rwanda had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Rwanda win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Uganda in this match.
| Result | ||
| Uganda | Draw | Rwanda |
| 43.61% | 26.7% | 29.68% |
| Both teams to score 50.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
