Mali

1 - 0

Rwanda

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 48.34%. A win for Rwanda had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Rwanda win was 0-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mali in this match.